No. The index measures observable pressure on the state. A reading of 80 means most of what we measure is elevated at once, not that there is an 80 percent chance of anything.
Every ten minutes. Twelve indicators are refetched, rescored and recombined on each cycle.
The series has been recorded continuously since early 2026 and is never pruned. This is the part that cannot be reconstructed after the fact.
Yes. The live score and a seven day history window are free and open. Unbounded history and per indicator decomposition are available under an API key.
An independent open source intelligence project with no government affiliation and no advertising.